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- <text>
- <title>
- Greek Article Examines Nation's Policy On Balkans
- </title>
- <article>
- <hdr>
- Foreign Broadcast Information Service, December 13, 1991
- Greece: Article Examines Nation's Policy on Balkans
- </hdr>
- <body>
- <p>[Article by K.I. Angelopoulos: "Seeking Roles and Influence in
- the Balkans...." Athens I KATHIMERINI in Greek 17 Nov 91 p 9]
- </p>
- <p> [Text] For some time now Greek diplomacy has centered its
- attention on the Balkans. Not only to confront the well-known--and complex--problems that have been created in that
- region, but also because the government, according to reliable
- sources, does not believe that under the present circumstances
- there are any prospects for immediate developments on the Cyprus
- issue and for any substantial improvement in Greek-Turkish
- relations.
- </p>
- <p>Strong Interest
- </p>
- <p> The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, of course, knows the scope
- and size of the problems our country has to face in the
- Balkans. It also knows that it is essential to find a "role" for
- Greece in this region where many things are scheduled to be
- "played" in the years to come. Moreover, Washington, too, is
- calling for a "role" from Athens in the Balkans. Washington has
- never concealed its lively interest over developments in the
- Balkans which, among other things, give the United States--as
- well as to certain other European countries--opportunities for
- "zones of influence."
- </p>
- <p> However, Greek foreign policy does not appear to have
- progressed much on this issue. With the disadvantage, of
- course, of the country's bad economic situation, Athens is
- moving forward with much hesitation over the correctness of
- certain options in the Balkan "chess game." And for that reason
- it has not managed in getting any initiative made by it on the
- region "passed," in succeeding in developing any firm alliance,
- or even in opening up prospects for anything like that.
- </p>
- <p>With Albania
- </p>
- <p> Athens still does not have any substantial "access" to
- neighboring Albania. The small amount of economic aid the Greek
- Government promised Tirana, as a show of its good intentions
- and capabilities, has still not crossed the Greek-Albanian
- frontier. At the same time, Athens has still not managed to
- create an atmosphere of trust vis-a-vis Tirana, with the result,
- of course, being that Italy's "influence" in Albania is
- presently complete. As much as Tirana's fear and insecurity
- vis-a-vis Athens are in certain respects exaggerated, the fact
- should not be ignored that this is due to a large extent to
- Greece's stance that appears to want to, but cannot change the
- situation....
- </p>
- <p>Skopje
- </p>
- <p> Greek foreign policy on the Skopje issue also appears to be
- changeable. In this case it is Athens that shows that it is
- obsessed by insecurity and fears vis-a-vis a weak Skopje with
- an uncertain future. Indicative of Greece's perplexity is also
- the spasmodic and hasty positioning by Greece on the matter of
- preconditions for a future recognition of an independent state
- of Skopje. And yet, Athens knows that Skopje, pressured by many
- sides, does not have much latitude for any "offensive game"
- vis-a-vis Greece. To the contrary, indeed, Skopje's recent
- attitude shows that the disposition of this "peculiar" neighbor
- is to handle the situation with Greece in such a way as not to
- leave any doors open for any lengthy dispute.
- </p>
- <p> At any rate, the Greek Government is already accepting
- advice from both Greeks and foreigners for some "other approach"
- to the matter. The view is being formulated that Greece, by
- remaining steadfast, of course, to a series of points
- (frontiers, "an end to matters regarding minorities, etc.") will
- be able to gain more if, taking advantage of Skopje's
- insecurity, it were to move forward toward making an "overture"
- to it. Those who propose such a view point out to the Ministry
- of Foreign Affairs that a breakup of the federative small state
- of Skopje cannot at all be to Greece's advantage since that
- would in all probability lead to "fierce" vicissitudes regarding
- frontier changes in the Balkans.
- </p>
- <p> According to these same sources, what Athens should pay
- close attention to is the matter of the U.S. services creating
- an artificial "Macedonian minorities" problem in our country.
- If Washington wants Athens to share the view than an
- independent small state of Skopje in the future would function
- as a "pillow" in that explosive region, it should, at any rate,
- also be convinced that Greece cannot accept a "game" with a
- "minority."
- </p>
- <p>With Bulgaria
- </p>
- <p> The issue of Greek-Bulgarian relations because of Turkey's
- "wedge" in Zhelev's country is also a difficult one for Athens.
- Greece continues to have good relations with Sofia, where,
- however, much has changed and where perhaps much more will
- change in the future. Bulgaria is presently caught in Turkey's
- "Muslim" trap with people in the current regime promoting
- military cooperation with Ankara while Washington is not at all
- unhappy with all of this.
- </p>
- <p> At the same time, in the face of Turkey's economic "inroad"
- into Bulgaria, Greece is very much behind, since, indeed, the
- business world of northern Greece has not yet been "mobilized"
- to reach out to Bulgaria economically speaking, as the
- government would have liked and expected. And yet, according to
- information, Sofia (where there are many forces that are very
- much displeased over the Turkish "trap") is seeking a
- development of economic and trade relations and seeks from
- Greece new "avenues" of cooperation. However, it is meeting with
- Greek "obstructions." Thus, substantial "access" by Greece into
- Bulgaria does not exist either. And questions about the future
- of the original Athens-Sofia-Ankara "triangle" (with Thraki
- being the centerpiece of Greek anxiety) remain--together with
- the big questions on the capability of our country to assume
- some "role" in the region.
- </p>
- </body>
- </article>
- </text>
-